This www.siminvestors.blogspot will no longer be in use.
Monday, April 19, 2010
Please visit us at our New Website instead
This www.siminvestors.blogspot will no longer be in use.
Thursday, February 25, 2010
Smart Investment, Smart Investing Workshop(s)
Monday, February 22, 2010
The Most Important Element in Investment
Research Article:
The Most Important Element in Investment
Section (1): The Question
What is the most important element in investment?
Section (2): Our Research Article’s Answer
Our answer is ‘Capital Preservation’.
Definition: ‘Capital preservation is a investment strategy characterized by a desire to avoid risk of loss.'
Section (3): Support for our answer
The wealthiest investor in the world Warren Buffet says it well:
“Rule No.1: Never lose money.
Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1”.
George Soros (dubbed "the man who broke the Bank of England.") said:
“Survive first and make money afterwards.”
Gerarld Appel [ inventor of the popular technical indicator Moving Average Convergence-Divergence(MACD) ] said:
“It’s not how much you make that counts; it’s how much you manage not to lose”.
Larry Hite (Called by the daily Business Day an enormously successful investment manager of the 1980s. He is considered one of the top 100 traders of the 20th century.) said:
“If you don’t bet, you can’t win. If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet.”
Mark Tier [Author of “The Winning Investment Habits of Warren Buffet & George Soros” (international bestseller).] wrote:
“Preservation of capital isn’t just the first winning investment habit. It’s the foundation of all the other practices the master investor brings to the investment marketplace, the cornerstone of his entire investment strategy.”
Section (4): The Perils of Drawdown (making losses)
Drawdown refers to the percentage drop in your account size after one losing trade or consecutive losing trades.
For example, after a few losing trades, your $1,000 account is now left with $600; that would be a drawdown of 400/1000= 40%.
After losing 40%, the investor/trader now starts with a lower base, i.e., to undo the $400 loss, the return he needs to generate is 400/600= 60.66%.
The more severe the drawdown, the harder it becomes to undo the damage, as shown in the chart below:
Percentage Loss of Capital (Drawdown) | Required Return on Investment (ROI) |
10% | 11.1% |
20% | 25% |
30% | 42.9% |
40% | 66.7% |
50% | 100% |
60% | 150% |
70% | 233% |
80% | 400% |
90% | 900% |
100% | Infinite |
Bear in mind that Warren Buffet, whom many people consider to be the world’s top investor, only makes a ROI of around 20%-30% per annum.
Section (5): Does a ‘Capital Preservation strategy’ restrict investors from making high returns?
Consider the traditional belief in the field of finance which states that “the higher the risk, the higher the returns”. If a trader/investor's primary aim is to make explosive profits (high returns) and not mainly to preserve his capital, his portfolio may be exposed to a much higher risk, which in turn increases the probability of his account suffering a drawdown.
Lessons are to be learnt from investors/organizations which do not make preservation of capital their primary aim. For example ‘Lehman Brothers’, ‘Long-Term Capital Management’, and Nick Leeson who singlehandedly incurred billions of dollars in trading losses, resulting in the collapse of Barrings Bank, these organizations went bankrupt because their primary aim is to make big profits at the expense of their underlying capital.
When a trader/investor's first priority is capital preservation he will refrain from trying to make returns from the market by speculations. He is likely to develop the good virtue of patience and discipline and will only buy or sell a new position when he spots what he considers to be a low risk and high probability trade.
Section (6): Tips/strategies to prevent Drawdowns
6.1) Always adhere to a strict money and risk management rule. Make sure that every trade is at most 2% of the
overall capital size. This will ensure that even if the trade turns sour, the losses incurred from that trade will
not create a big drawdown in the portfolio.
6.2) If you are a short term trader and not a long term investor, always set a stop loss whenever
you open a new long or short position. This will prevent you from making a severe loss if you are caught in
the wrong side of a trending market.
6.3) Educate Yourself: Be diligent to acquire the necessary knowledge that is required to make informed
investment decisions. Learn and try to master both fundamental and technical analysis.
Written by:
Liu Weimin
I.T. & Research Director (Academic Year 2009/2010)
~disclaimer:The information, statistical data and opinions contained herein are of the author’s own, and have been obtained from sources which he/she believes to be reliable, but it does not represent that they are accurate or complete, and they should not be relied upon as such. All opinions expressed and data provided herein are subject to change without notice. ALL investments involve different degrees of risk. You should be aware of your risk tolerance level and financial situations at all times. Read any and all prospectuses carefully before making any investment decisions. As you know, a recommendation, which you are free to accept or reject, is not a guarantee for the successful performance of an investment and we are expressly prohibited from guaranteeing accounts against losses arising from market conditions. SIM-INC and its members will not be held liable in any manner for any losses arising directly or indirectly from investment decisions undertaken based on the information/statistical data/opinions expressed.
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Summary of Important Dates for Upcoming Events.
Please take note of the closing dates for registration of the following competitions:
Registration Closing Dates for Inter-University Competition:
1) The Nex Fund Manger Competition - 07th February 2010
2) FXUNI FOREX competition - 31th Janurary 2010.
3) OCBC Young Investors Stock challenge - 14th January 2010.
Registration Closing Date for Internal Competition:
1) FOREX Face-Off - 06th January 2010.
Please read the entries on this website for more information regarding the respective competitions, or contact us at inc@clubs.sim.edu.sg
Monday, January 11, 2010
Free Membership Registration
You can register to become a member of Singapore Institute of Management(SIM)'s Investment & Networking Club (INC) at:
http://spreadsheets.google.com/viewform?formkey=clVLNDVzZGhsWWRyWmFxNks2Q2hNQnc6MA..
As an ordinary member, you will enjoy the following benefits:
• Attend various school, national and international events
• Meet industry professionals
• Learn to make informed decisions
• Develop your knowledge and abilities with like-minded people
For further inquiries, please contact inc@clubs.sim.edu.sg
SIM C.C.A Week
FXUNI FOREX Competition (Inter-Varsity)
Learn about the FOREX market, margin trading, strategies and best practices and put your skills to a test in an inter-university contest with SMU, NUS, NTU and SIM.
Attractive Prizes to be won!
Free FXUNI Seminar: 23rd January 2010,Saturday, 1.30PM at SMU - Lee Kong Chian School of Business Seminar Room 1.2.
Registration Dates: 13th January 2010 - 31th Janrary 2010
FOREX Programme: 1st February 2010 - 27th March 2010.
REGISTER NOW at:
(Please read and agree to the terms and conditions listed below before registering for this competition.)
http://spreadsheets.google.com/viewform?formkey=dFNkbWlFckFBeW1Meks2T29na3g5cnc6MA
This competition is organised by OANDA Asia Pacific Pte. Ltd (http://www.oanda.sg/) and co-organised by the Investment Clubs of SIM, SMU, NUS and NTU.
_______________________________________________________
For further inquiries, please contact inc@clubs.sim.edu.sg
Sunday, January 10, 2010
The Next Fund Manager Competition 2010
Prizes
Please register for this talk/briefing (not the competition) by Fundsupermart at this link: http://spreadsheets.google.
"The Next Fund Manager" is an inter-university competition.
http://spreadsheets.google.com/viewform?formkey=dHRaLVdESXdhRTJKbkY3Tm9zMHkxZmc6MA
OCBC Young Investors Stock Challenge 2010 has been launched !
Details:
Challenge Period: 18th Jan 2010 9.00am - 12th Feb 2010 5.00pm
Registration Closing Date: Extended to 14th January 2010.
Open to students only
REGISTER NOW at:
http://www.sias.org.sg/index.php?option=com_event&controller=show&task=show&id=57&Itemid=68
For inquiries, please contact inc@clubs.sim.edu.sg
Facebook Group
Our FaceBook Group name is: "Investment & Networking Club (INC.)"
The link to our Facebook Group is:
http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=178272628922
Join our Facebook Group to get updates of our upcoming events, books review, links to website with excellent educational material, useful articles, group discussions and many other useful materials.
Best Regards.
Frequently Asked Questions
It's one of the clubs in SIM,established in August 2008. It's part of the SIAS (Security Investors Association of Siangapore) Youth Chapter.
2. What is our club's objective?
To promote financial literacy and interest among SIM's students, and to provide a networking platform for the students who shares the same interest in finance and investment.
4. How can I join ?
The membership is free. You can register through this linkhttp://spreadsheets.google.com/viewform?formkey=clVLNDVzZGhsWWRyWmFxNks2Q2hNQnc6MA..
5. What does the club offer ?
As an ordinary members, you will be included in opportunities to:
• Attend various school, national and international events
• Meet industry professionals
• Learn to make informed decisions
• Develop your knowledge and abilities with like-minded people
6. What's the distinctions between committee and ordinary member ?
By joining this club, you become an ordinary member. Committees organize event, run events together with the executive committee members.
7. How often do we hold activities ?
There're no fixed schedules for our activities. The activities (talk and competition) will be held with subject to the availability of the speaker.
For inquiries, please contact inc@clubs.sim.edu.sg
Temporary use of .blogspot.com
INC official website is www.simivestors.com.
However, due to some technical problems we are not able to update our website. Hence, this www.siminvestors.blogspot.com will be used temporary to update everyone about our club and all upcoming events.
Best Regards.
Investment & Networking Club (INC)
activity group of the Singapore Institute of Management (SIM), an
investment focused group dedicated to bringing institutional quality
research to individual investors.
Vision:
To be a student network of discerning, empowered individuals
who will continue to educate, learn and share.
Missionn:
To engage students in making informed and balanced investment
decisions.
Objective:
To promote the awareness and importance of investment in SIM.
Happy New Year =).
INC.